Item 4 - Population Change and Demographic Trends Presentation — original pdf
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Population Change and Demographic Trends for Austin’s Asian American Population Asian American Quality of Life Advisory Commission April 16, 2024 Austin’s population has been doubling every 20 to 25 years. Recent growth has been at a slower rate. 1,137,983 961,855 974,447 Period of greatest growth 656,562 Period of fastest growth since 1900 251,808 National Ranking: 73rd 67th 56th 42nd 27th 16th 14th 11th 10th Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses 1870 – 2020; 2022 Vintage Census Bureau Population Estimates; 2025, 2030 CoA Projections. 2 1,250,000 1,000,000 750,000 500,000 250,000 .974 million 4,428 0 The Asian population has always been a part of Austin’s growth history. 900000 800000 700000 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 First time Hispanics were broken out from White. Black population split into “free” and “slave”. Initially measured simply as “Chinese”. “Mexican” included in Other Race. White Hispanic Black 1850 628 1860 2505 1870 2813 1880 7407 1900 1890 10956 16414 22366 27928 38209 73025 114652 161806 184859 232324 287166 353706 385271 452994 1950 1930 2000 1960 2020 1940 1970 1990 1980 2010 1920 1910 American Indian & Alaska Native Asian & Pacific Islander Population 9 10 1 8 2 14 22 27 29 4 40 10 107 39 184 170 622 1,003 1,756 1,967 2,002 3,642 14,141 31,421 49,560 86,381 1 989 1615 3587 3610 5822 7478 6921 14861 17667 24413 29845 42118 55824 66738 60760 66002 5014 9868 36623 64766 106868 200579 277707 312448 Asian & Pacific Islander Population American Indian & Alaska Native Black Hispanic White Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Historical Census 1790-1990; Texas Demographic Center 1980-2000; data.census.gov 2010-2020 3 Asian & Pacific Islander Population, Austin, 1880-2020 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 - 86,381 86,381 500% 400% 300% 200% 100% 0% -100% 49,560 31,421 14,141 10 8 22 14 27 29 40 107 184 622 3,642 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Asian & Pacific Islander Population Percent Change Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Historical Census Statistics for Large Cities and Other Urban Places in the U.S. 4 Where do Austinites come from? Place of Birth, 2022 Total Population Hispanics Asians Born in Texas Born in other US State Native born, outside US Born in Another Country 48% 32% 2% 18% 58% 13% 2% 27% 19% 18% 2% 61% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2022 1-Year Estimates Note: Figures in red represent a decrease since 2012, in blue an increase since 2012. 5 Components of Population Change, Austin Metro Area, 2022-2023 Drivers of Growth Migration continues to be a major component of growth to the Austin metro area. Migration from other parts of Texas and other states made up 45% of the growth in the Austin metro area between July 1, 2022, and July 1, 2023. Domestic Migration 45% Significant increase in the share of international migration during this time. Natural increase remains relatively stable. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Vintage 2023. Natural Increase 33% Int'l Migration 22% 6 Although migration has long been a major contributor of growth to the Austin region, recent figures show slower growth coming from domestic migration. Components of Population Change, Austin Metro, 2011-2023 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Natural Increase Int'l Migration Domestic Migration Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates. 7 Diversity within Austin’s Asian Population Origins of Asians, 2022 Population Total Asian Population Asian Indian Chinese Vietnamese Korean Filipino Pakistani Two or more Asian groups Taiwanese Japanese Nepalese Other Central Asian Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2022 5-Year Estimates 80,245 30,361 15,246 9,659 6,738 4,790 2,135 1,943 1,507 1,412 1,344 1,212 Share of Asian Total Population 100.0% 37.8% 19.0% 12.0% 8.4% 6.0% 2.7% 2.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.5% 8 Austin’s immigrant population originates from over 120 different countries. Top 20 Countries of Origin of Foreign-Born Population in Austin, 2022 1. Mexico 6. Guatemala 11.The 16.Afghanistan 2. India 3. China* 7. Cuba 8. Korea 4. Honduras 9. El Salvador 5. Vietnam 10.Canada Philippines 12.Venezuela 13.Nigeria 14.Taiwan 15.Germany 17.Colombia 18.Brazil 19.Pakistan 20.Iraq Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2022 5-Year Estimates; Note: *excluding Hong Kong and Taiwan Over 45 different languages are spoken by Austin residents; 10.3% are limited English speakers. Top 15 Languages spoken by Austin residents 5 years and older 1. English 2. Spanish languages 11. Arabic 6. Vietnamese 3. Chinese, including Mandarin and Cantonese 4. Hindi 7. Tamil 8. Korean 9. Telugu 5. Yoruba, Twi, Igbo or other Western African 10. French, including Cajun Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2022 1-Year Estimates 12. Nepali, Marathi, or other Indic languages 13. Tagalog, including Filipino 14. Portuguese 15. Urdu Languages Spoken in Austin Homes, 2022 Population 5 years and older who: Total Population Asians Hispanics Speak only English Bilingual Speak English less than very well 70.4% 29.6% 10.3% 72.3% 27.7% 60.4% 39.6% Speak English less than “very well” 5 to 17 years old 18 to 64 years old 65 years and older Asian and Pacific Island language speakers 18.8% Spanish speakers Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2022 1-Year Estimates 45.2% 24.0% 39.4% 56.2% 31.1% 11 Percent Asian Population, 2020 12 Change in Asian Population, 2010-2020 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, P.L. 94-171 Redistricting Data, 2010, 2020. 13 Demographic shifts in Austin this last decade are unique and distinct from national and state shifts. 21% Austin total growth Up from 6.2% to 8.9% 6 of 10 children More than doubled Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census, 2010, 2020. Asian population fastest-growing single race group Asian population now 3rd largest race/ethnicity group Asian population drove growth in child population over the last decade Asian older population was the fastest growing among those 65 plus 14 Population Change of Asian Children, 2010- 2020 Source: City of Austin Planning Department, Age of Change Story Map: https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/a4e31fc68d37449b8e3c044e249699bc 15 Population Change of Asian Older Adults, 2010-2020 Source: City of Austin Planning Department, Age of Change Story Map: https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/a4e31fc68d37449b8e3c044e249699bc 16 Socio-Economic Indicators The Asian population is a significant contributor to Austin’s highly educated work force. Adults with a Bachelor’s Degree and Above by Race/Ethnicity, 2015 to 2022 t n e c r e P 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Total NH White Black Asian Hispanic 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates 18 Asian household incomes in Austin have seen significant increases. Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity $140,000 Total Black Asian Hispanic NH White $120,000 $100,000 $80,000 $60,000 $40,000 $20,000 $- 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates 19 Homeownership for Asian Austin households has decreased since 2010. Austin Homeownership Rate by Race/Ethnicity 2010-2022 50.5 45.1 43.0 35.7 31.0 52.1 White 44.2 42.2 Total Asian 34.6 31.5 Hispanic Black 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates 20 Austin Asian Households Asian household size is following the city’s declining trend, at 2.47 down from 2.53. 12% of Asians in Austin live alone. 6% of Asian households are multigenerational households. Asian multigenerational households were the fastest- growing of all Austin multigenerational households, increasing by 56% since 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 and 2020 Decennial Census Demographic and Household Characteristics 21 Data limitations can obscure socio-economic disparities within the Asian community. Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/race-ethnicity/2024/03/27/the-hardships-and-dreams-of-asian-americans-living-in-poverty/ 22 Changes to Race, Ethnicity Categories New Race, Ethnicity Categories: Separate questions for Race and Ethnicity. – Hispanic ethnicity New question format: – Combines race and ethnicity into one question – Adds a new race category for Middle Eastern and North African, separate from White – Replaces “Far East” terminology “East Asian” – Drops “Other” from “Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander” race category 24 New Race, Ethnicity Categories: Separate questions for Race and Ethnicity. – Hispanic ethnicity New question format: – Combines race and ethnicity into one question – Adds a new race category for Middle Eastern and North African, separate from White – Replaces “Far East” terminology “East Asian” – Drops “Other” from “Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander” race category 25 What Census Calls Us: A Historical Timeline Pew Research Center https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/PH_15.06.11_MultiRacial-Timeline.pdf 26 In Review: The Asian American population was the fastest-growing single race group and makes up the third largest demographic group in Austin and the region. The Asian community is an integral part of Austin’s highly educated workforce and economy. Austin’s Asian population is growing roots, contributing over 60% to the growth in the child population last decade and with the Asian older population more than doubling since 2010. Limited data makes it challenging to fully understand the varied needs of Austin’s Asian ethnicity groups. 27 Visit our website “Age of Change” and “Building the Future” story maps Data Request form Sign up here for occasional emails on our latest demographic analysis. austintexas.gov/demographics 28 Q & A 29 Thank you! Lila Valencia, Ph.D. City Demographer lila.valencia@austintexas.gov