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Population Change and Demographic Trends for the Black Population in Austin African American Resource Advisory Commission October 1, 2024 Content Population Growth Austin’s Unique Diversity Areas of Growth & Change Socioeconomic Indicators Austin’s Population Growth Austin’s population has been doubling every 20 to 25 years. Recent growth has been at a slower rate. 1,137,983 961,855 974,447 Period of greatest growth 656,562 Period of fastest growth since 1900 251,808 1,250,000 1,000,000 750,000 500,000 250,000 .974 million 4,428 0 National Ranking: 73rd 67th 56th 42nd 27th 16th 14th 11th 10th Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses 1870 – 2020; 2022 Vintage Census Bureau Population Estimates; 2025, 2030 CoA Projections. 4 Black population grew last decade but has been declining in share since 1900. 1,050,000 36.5% 900,000 750,000 600,000 450,000 300,000 150,000 0 .964 million 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 African American or Black Total Austin Population Share of Black Population Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses 1870 – 2020; 2021 Vintage Census Bureau Population Estimates; 2025, 2030 CoA Demographer Preliminary Projections. 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 5.0% 0.0% 10.0% 6.9% 5 Although migration has long been a major contributor of growth to the Austin region, recent figures show slower growth coming from domestic migration. Components of Population Change, Austin Metro, 2011-2023 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Natural Increase Int'l Migration Domestic Migration Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates. 6 Where do Austinites come from? Place of Birth, 2023 Total Population Asian Black Hispanic White Born in Texas Born in other US State Native born, outside US Born in Another Country 48% 32% 2% 18% 20% 19% 2% 60% 57% 30% 1% 12% 56% 14% 3% 27% 45% 47% 2% 5% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2023 1-Year Estimates Note: Figures in red represent a decrease since 2013, in bold an increase since 2013. 7 Austin’s Unique Diversity Change in Austin’s Black Population, 2010 to 2020 40% Austin vs 5% TX, US NH White population driving growth in Austin. Black population growth The Black population in Austin grew 8.6% to a total of 66,002. 3.1% of total growth Of the 171k people added last decade, 5,242 or 3.1% were Black 4th largest race group in Austin The Black population now makes up 6.9% of the total population, down from 7.7%. <1% of TX Black growth Less than 1% of all Black population growth in Texas was added in Austin. 9 Change in Austin’s Racial-Ethnic Composition, 2010 to 2020 2010 2020 Percent of Total, 2010 Percent of Total, 2020 Numeric Change Percent Change Percent of Total Change 277,707 312,448 35.1% 32.5% 34,741 12.5% Hispanic or Latino American Indian & Alaska Native, NH Asian, NH Native Hawaiian & Other Pacific Islander, NH 1,967 2,002 49,159 85,853 401 Black or African American, NH 60,760 Some other race, NH 1,448 528 66,002 4,841 Two or more races, NH 13,677 37,187 White, NH Total 385,271 452,994 48.7% 47.1% 790,390 961,855 100.0% 100.0% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census 2010, 2020; Note: red text denotes decrease since 2010 0.2% 6.2% 0.1% 7.7% 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 8.9% 0.1% 6.9% 0.5% 3.9% 35 36,694 127 5,242 3,393 1.8% 74.6% 31.7% 8.6% 234.3% 23,510 171.9% 67,723 171,465 17.6% 21.7% 20.3% 0.0% 21.4% 0.1% 3.1% 2.0% 13.7% 39.5% 100.0% 10 Despite growth in the child population, fewer Latino and Black children in Austin. Numeric Change in the Child Population, 2010-2020 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 -2,000 -4,000 -6,000 -8,000 ~11k in 10 yrs Hispanic or Latino Black or African American, NH Some Other Race, NH Two or More Races, NH White, NH Asian, NH Source: U.S. Census Bureau, P.L. 94-171 Redistricting Data, 2010 and 2020. 11 Areas of Growth & Change 2000 2010 2020 13 Percent Black Population, 2020 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, P.L. 94-171 Redistricting Data, 2010, 2020. 14 Change in Black Population, 2010 to 2020 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, P.L. 94-171 Redistricting Data, 2010, 2020. 15 Socioeconomic Indicators Bachelor degree attainment for White Austinites is 1.5 times higher than attainment for Black Austinites. Percent of the Population 25 and Older with a Bachelor’s Degree and above 82.1% 71.9% 61.7% 45.3% 40.4% Austin Black Asian Hispanic White 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 69.3% 58.8% 43.7% 19.6% 17.7% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates; no data available for 2020 17 White household incomes in Austin are 1.6 times greater than African American household incomes. Austin Real Median Household Income (July 2024 $) $136,770 $107,377 $94,150 $73,577 $65,647 All Households Black Asian Hispanic White $160,000 $140,000 $120,000 $100,000 $80,000 $60,000 $40,000 $20,000 $- 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates; no data available for 2020 18 Homeownership in Austin has declined or stagnated for all households, and the homeownership gap between White and Black households has widened. Homeownership in Austin 60.0% 52.1% 45.1% 42.3% 34.6% 32.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 50.1% 43.5% 43.2% 35.8% 27.0% Black Asian Hispanic White All Households 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates 19 Housing cost-burden disproportionately impacts renters, especially Black & Hispanic renters. Percent of Austin households experiencing housing cost-burden (spend over 30% of income on housing) 60.0% 54.7% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 29.8% 51.2% 25.9% Percent Cost Burden by Race/Ethnicity in Austin, 2023 Cost Burden Own Cost Burden Rent Extreme Cost Burden (spend over 50% on housing) Black 38.6% 60.1% 22.5% Hispanic 23.3% 49.7% 19.5% White Asian 23.7% 44.7% 16.1% 19.7% 29.0% 11.3% Owned Households Rented Households Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates; no data available for 2020. 20 African American Households • Austin’s Black households declined in size from 2.34 to 2.21 people. • Although African Americans make up 6.9% of the Austin population, they own 4.3% of owner-occupied housing units. • 19% of Black Austinites live alone. • The number and share of Black family households and multigenerational households declined since 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 and 2020 Decennial Census Demographic and Household Characteristics; Photo: City of Austin 21 Challenges • Austin remains geographically, racially segregated, with a concurrent eastward movement primarily of families of color to areas with fewer resources. • Increased diversity in Austin obscures a declining share of Black Austinites and real decline among Black children in Austin. • Although Austin leads in many socioeconomic indicators, racial disparities remain. • Housing unit growth is not keeping pace with household demand, and the White-Black homeownership gap has widened. 22 Opportunities • The Black Austin population is diversifying. • Maximize on significant gains in BA attainment among Black Austinites. • Continue to foster, preserve, and champion entrepreneurship and cultural contributions of the community 23 • Visit our website! • Quick Stats • Demographic profiles for the city, county, MSA, and council districts • Interactive Maps • Library with additional resources • Data Request form • Sign up here for occasional emails on our latest demographic analysis. 24 austintexas.gov/demographics Q & A 25 Thank you! Lila Valencia, Ph.D. City Demographer lila.valencia@austintexas.gov