Airport Advisory CommissionNov. 13, 2025

20251112-004 Domestic Air Service Development Update — original pdf

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AUS Domestic Air Service Update Aviation Department November 12, 2025 The Airline Network Planning Process Goal to maximize revenue and strategic priorities Industry & Other Data: DOT O&D: Market size & Fares T100: Load Factor Influential Factors: OA Projected Performance Competition Vetting Process: Forecast Revenue Details List of Potentials Station Costs Data Analysis Aircraft Availability Scheduling Population & Demographics Airline Trends Seasonality/ DOW Operational Viability Regulatory Issues Plan Executive Team And Board Approval 2 AUS is the 4th Fastest Growing Airport Among U.S. Large & Medium Hub Airports % Change in Seats: Q4 ‘25 v. Q4 ‘19 60% 50% 47% 41%40% 39% 33% 28%28% 26% 22%21% 19%18%18% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% 15%14%14%13%12%12%11%11%10%10%10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% -1% -2% -2% -2% -2% -4% -4% -4% -5% -5% -6% -7% -9% -9%-10%-10% -14% -34% -39% A N B I A M S H C S U A I B P I O B U J S T N O N E D X H P O C M U D R D N I A M O X A J W S R W F D S A L A N S T A S N A S H A I F U B C L S A P T A G L K F J L N H A C D D A I I T P C N A Q B A F M S I C M H M C L A D R W E T L C E L C D R O U O H G V C L T S Y S M L L F A E S L T A L D B I W B S O B X D P R U B W D M O F S W T D P S M L H P E K M G G O X A L C J S K A O . g v A . . S U Source: Cirium domestic schedules (as of October 27, 2025). 3 AUS Change in Seats by Largest Airlines AUS seats are still up 41% since 2019 Q4 2025 vs. Q4 2019 Percent Change in Seats at AUS 93% 77% 110% 80% 100% 80% Q4 2025 vs. Q4 2024 Percent Change in Seats at AUS 97% 24% 18% 9% 31% 21% New New -19% -16% -57% -71% 41% 60% 53% 40% 20% 0% -20% 23% 9% 5% 20% 6% 32% 26% 15% 9% 3% -5% -8% -6% -4% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% -60% -80% Note: Includes Top 15 Largest AUS Carriers. Shown by largest to smallest by seats Q4 2019, Q4 2024, and Q4 2025. Source: Cirium schedule data as of October 27, 2025. 4 AUS Has Nonstop Service to 100* Destinations From 19 Carriers Average Daily Nonstop Destinations Carriers Nonstop Departures Nov. 2024 78 17 238 Nov. 2025 82 17 257 Nonstop Seat Departures 37,074 40,281 +3,207 Average Seats/Aircraft 156 157 +1 Year-Round Seasonal Special Event Announced * Includes seasonal destinations Source: Cirium schedules for November 2025 plus seasonal and announced (as of October 28, 2025). Change Change % +4 -- +19 +5% -- +8% +9% +1% 5 LHRAMSFRA New Domestic AUS Service Added FY25 Delta Frontier Southwest Source: Cirium schedules. 6 New Domestic AUS Service For FY26, So Far Schedules are loaded to Sept. ’26 except: • Spirit to March • Frontier to April • Allegiant to May • Southwest to August Delta JetBlue Southwest Source: Cirium schedules. 7 Summary of American Service Changes Served Pre- and Post- COVID (8) Added and Maintained Post-COVID (3) Added and Dropped Post-COVID (39) Special Events (9) Source: Cirium schedules as of October 2025 plus seasonal and announced. • American now serves 25% of the destinations served at its peak in 2023 • American seats for 2025 are up 18% vs. 2019 8 Summary of Southwest Service Changes Served Pre- and Post- COVID (33) Added and Maintained Post-COVID (19) Added and Dropped Post-COVID (4) New in 2025 (2) Special Events (2) Announced (3) Source: Cirium schedules as of October 2025 plus seasonal and announced. • Southwest now serves 21 more destinations than 2019 • Southwest seats for 2025 are up 67% vs. 2019 9 Summary of Delta Service Changes Served Pre- and Post- COVID (10) Added and Maintained Post-COVID (7) New in 2025 (6) Special Events (5) Announced (10) Source: Cirium schedules as of October 2025 plus seasonal and announced. • Delta now serves 18 more destinations than 2019 • Delta seats for 2025 are up 81% vs. 2019 10 AUS Top 10 Unserved Domestic Markets Note: size of bubble corresponds to total AUS passengers daily each way (PDEW) Source: U.S. DOT O&D, YE Q2 2025; Cirium schedules, YE July 2026 as of 11/3/2025 11 AUS Domestic Markets with One Carrier AA AS DL F9 G4 UA WN Source: Cirium schedules as of October 2025 plus seasonal and announced. 12 AUS Domestic Air Service Development Goals & Objectives ▪ Maintain and support all incumbent domestic service, especially new service ▪ Work with carriers to add days of the week and/or lengthen operating seasons for applicable markets ▪ Pursue new domestic service to business, leisure and VFR focused markets from all carrier types – incumbent and new carriers ▪ Continue to work with economic development, educational, political and tourism stakeholders to maximize air service utility for the Austin community ▪ Work with incumbent and new carriers to replace recently discontinued service (where it makes sense) ▪ Work with all carrier types (network, hybrid, LCC, ULCC) to maximize choice for AUS passengers Most important – support AUS nonstop service! 13 AUS Domestic Air Service Update Aviation Department November 12, 2025